Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000017 0.000018 0.000021 0.000023 0.000026 0.000029 0.000034
2024-12-22 0.000013 0.000016 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045
2024-12-29 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000058
2025-01-05 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000046 0.000072
2025-01-12 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000033 0.000051 0.000086
2025-01-19 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000034 0.000055 0.000103
2025-01-26 0.000008 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000035 0.000061 0.000123
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000037 0.000068 0.000151
2025-02-09 0.000007 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000038 0.000074 0.000179
2025-02-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000040 0.000082 0.000220
2025-02-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000043 0.000092 0.000281
2025-03-02 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000045 0.000104 0.000357
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000046 0.000112 0.000437
2025-03-16 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000047 0.000121 0.000537
2025-03-23 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000049 0.000134 0.000693
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000051 0.000148 0.000904
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000052 0.000157 0.001109
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000052 0.000168 0.001403
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000054 0.000183 0.001848
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000022 0.000056 0.000205 0.002688
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000057 0.000222 0.003705
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000060 0.000248 0.005837
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000023 0.000064 0.000288 0.011094